Skip to main content

Will the weather cooperate with Fourth of July festivities in Minnesota?

Storms are possible but a washout is not in the forecast.

After another night of soaking rains in the Twin Cities and southern Minnesota, things are finally drying out as Tuesday will shape up to be quite nice once morning fog and clouds clear. 

High temps soar into the mid-80s Tuesday with plenty of summertime humidity making it feel a bit warm outside, but a break from the rain will be nice. But all nice weather must end, and more rain and storms are in the forecast for Thursday and Friday. 


West-central and northwestern parts of Minnesota could get some storms late Wednesday night, but chances for rain in the Twin Cities area return on the Fourth of July and Friday. 

"Still a little too early to have a good grasp on timing regarding impacts to holiday celebrations, but the good news is that any rain on Thursday does not appear to be an all day washout," says the National Weather Service in the Twin Cities. 

If you have outdoor plans and hope to catch a fireworks display Thursday night, you'll need to keep an eye on the weather. 

The darker green areas are under a marginal risk for severe storms on Wednesday (left) and Thursday (right). 

The darker green areas are under a marginal risk for severe storms on Wednesday (left) and Thursday (right). 

The Storm Prediction Center out of Oklahoma has parts of Minnesota in a marginal risk for severe storms both Wednesday and Thursday, and their early thinking is that storms could fire in southwestern Minnesota during the afternoon on Thursday. 

If those storms do develop, hold together and move east, it could set the stage for a wet Fourth of July evening in eastern Minnesota. But don't hold your breath on anything just yet. 

Temps Thursday and Friday will range from the low- to mid-80s, but with dewpoints rising near 70 it's going to be muggy outdoors. 

Bookmark the Weather MN blog for updates on your Fourth of July forecast

Next Up

white Christmas

2 MN towns among most 'magical' winter locations in the country

The list was compiled by Trips Discover and published earlier this month.

Screen Shot 2022-11-26 at 8.27.12 AM

St. Olaf football player charged after fatal crash in Chicago

The 18-year-old is accused of speeding and going the wrong way when he crashed into a vehicle that may have been attempting to flee police.

Screen Shot 2022-11-26 at 7.41.18 AM

Woman 34 weeks pregnant injured by drunk driver in Cottage Grove

The 49-year-old suspected of DUI was booked into jail around 1:30 a.m. Saturday.


2 dead, 5 injured in Thanksgiving Day crash near Alexandria

The crash involved two people from Alexandria and five from Bloomington.

Screen Shot 2022-11-25 at 6.44.11 PM

Lengthy standoff in Prior Lake ends late Friday night

The suspect allegedly assaulted an officer outside Kwik Trip, fled and broke into a home.

snow - 12-10-21 - Joe Nelson - 5

Accumulating snow possible in Twin Cities next week

The storm system could arrive in the Tuesday-Wednesday timeframe.

Target store snow

With Black Friday barely underway, Target reveals Cyber Monday deals

Plans for the two-day sale were revealed Friday morning.

Screen Shot 2022-11-25 at 9.37.25 AM

Man waves replica assault weapon at drivers in downtown Minneapolis

The alarming incident was spotted by the new MPD chief, Brian O'Hara.

Screen Shot 2022-11-25 at 9.29.58 AM

Extremely drunk driver arrested in Chaska

The driver was more than four times the legal limit.

Screen Shot 2022-11-25 at 8.21.21 AM

Stillwater police looking for suspect who stole vehicle with 1-year-old inside

The suspect abandoned the vehicle with the child still inside just 5 minutes after the theft.

Screen Shot 2022-11-23 at 5.01.34 PM

Suspected Bloomington restaurant killer arrested in Oklahoma

The 47-year-old Texas man was arrested around 12:30 a.m. Thursday.


Fourth of July storms possible in Minnesota, including the Twin Cities

Keep an eye on the weather if you're outside on the Fourth of July.

lightning, thunderstorm

Strong storms late Tuesday? Hotter than normal July set to unfold

Storms could be severe in northwest Minnesota late Monday as well.

Weekend weather: Hot start, storms possible late Saturday

The storms should be confined to western Minnesota.

High soars near 90 with strong storms developing Friday

It won't be a total washout, but storms could develop Friday afternoon.


When is the windy weather going to stop in Minnesota?

If you don't like the wind, you won't have to wait long for calm conditions.

Storms could bring severe weather to Minnesota on Friday

There's a slight risk of severe storms in western and southern Minnesota.