Will Sunday's snow in the Twin Cities overachieve? Plus, the latest on the Monday-Tuesday snowstorm

A solid helping of snow Sunday, then possibly more Monday-Tuesday.
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The Twin Cities and parts of east-central and southeast Minnesota have been included in a winter storm watch for Monday night through Tuesday. Get the details here

Original story 7:30 a.m. Sunday

It's snowing in southern Minnesota and throughout the Twin Cities on Sunday morning and the snow should last a good chunk of the day. 

According to the National Weather Service (NWS), the heaviest totals are expected in and around the Minneapolis-St. Paul area, where 2-5 inches could fall, although some isolated locations that fall under narrow bands of heavier snow could wind up with half a foot.

Here's a look at the simulated future high-resolution model through 6 p.m.


The NWS mentions that this snowfall has a chance to overachieve, so don't be completely shocked if snow totals push above 5 inches in isolated locations. 

After today, all eyes turn to the potential for a significant snowstorm to impact southern and eastern parts of Minnesota from Monday night into Tuesday. 

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The only changes the NWS has made from Saturday's forecast is to push the highest chances for 6+ inches of snow a little further east, but they're still thinking significant snowfall totals will impact the metro area and southeast Minnesota. 

"Have shifted the region of heaviest snow a bit further south and east this forecast, mainly east of I-35 in southern and southeast Minnesota up through west-central Wisconsin," says the Sunday morning forecast discussion from the Twin Cities office of the NWS.  

"Further west and north into south-central and central Minnesota, plowable amounts of snow look likely although there is still some uncertainty on how far west the potential for 6+ inches of snow will extend."

Screen Shot 2019-02-10 at 7.46.16 AM

The map above doesn't list snowfall total specifics, but the NWS La Crosse has a corresponding map that says the orange shaded areas could get 8-10+ inches while the yellow areas represent 6-8 inches. 

Again, the storm track could still shift, causing changes in how much snowfall is expected. So don't bank on anything just yet. But you already know that based on the performance of the most recent snowstorm forecasts, which have been raised and lowered as they've been in progress. 

The NWS will likely issue winter storm watches on Sunday afternoon, and we'll post a update to the Weather MN blog as soon as it happens. 

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