Skip to main content

Will warmup threaten chances for a white Christmas in parts of Minnesota?

Another cold start to the week but warmer days are ahead.

Even hearty Minnesotans will admit that the past week or so has been way too cold for the first half of December, but believe it or not, the average high temp in the Twin Cities so far this month is a balmy 27.5 degrees. 

Remember, eight of nine days to begin December featured high temps at or above freezing. The past week, however, has been frigid. High temps Dec. 10-15:

  • Dec. 10: 8 degrees
  • Dec. 11: 9 degrees
  • Dec. 12: 19 degrees
  • Dec. 13: 18 degrees
  • Dec. 14: 20 degrees
  • Dec. 15: 17 degrees

Low temps have ranged ranged from -5F to 9F the past six days, and it's been much colder in parts of greater Minnesota. 

We stay in the cold zone for a few more days before a pre-holidays warmup arrives, and it might get toasty enough to put a major dent in the snowpack leading up to Christmas. 

"Little or no snow is expected through the week, but odds are still in our favor for a white Christmas," the National Weather Service in the Twin Cities says. 

According to NOAA, there is at least a 50% chance for above normal temperatures throughout Minnesota Dec. 21-25. Drier than normal conditions are expected over that stretch, too.

As of Dec. 16, the snowpack is about 7-8 inches in the Twin Cities, according to NOAA, and is forecast to drop to about 5-6 inches by Dec. 19. Basically, an inch per day would have to melt to ruin chances of a white Christmas. 

The snowpack in Brainerd is about 11 inches, with a solid foot on the ground in Grand Rapids. Duluth, after getting pounded numerous times by snowstorms and powerful clippers, has nothing to worry about in terms of having a white Christmas. 

Here's a look at the European temperature model. It shows a frigid Wednesday morning with temps plummeting well below zero area wide, but then temps surge into the 20s and even low 30s for daytime highs Thursday through about Christmas. 


The forecast discussion from the NWS Twin Cities notes that while warmer days are ahead, nothing too much higher than the freezing mark is anticipated. 

Next Up


Mayo Clinic specialist: 'The omicron surge is not over'

Experts expect a rapid decline over the next month followed a period of calm.

police lights

Charges: Man in stolen Jeep leads police on 110 mph chase

He crashed into a light post near the Capitol and then fled on foot, the complaint says.

kua dog go fund me

Puppy in back of stolen Audi found, reunited with owner

The 4 1/2-month-old bullmastiff had been missing more than a week.

Fuzzy Gerdes Flickr Franks Diner Kenosha

WI's best 'hole-in-the-wall' diner is Guy Fieri-approved

Come for the "garbage pile," stay for ... even more breakfast food.


Minnesota's pre-pro women's soccer team unveils name, logo

The new name and look was unveiled after community owners voted on a winner.

fentanyl DEA

21 people charged in connection to drug trafficking in northern MN

Police say the organization sold more than 10 pounds of heroin and fentanyl in northern Minnesota.

Band Box Diner Courtney Mault Flickr

MN's 'best hole-in-the-wall diner' is, sadly, currently closed

MSN recently published its pick for best diner in each state.


Minnesota's COVID-19 update for Thursday, January 27

Cases remain very high but hospitalizations have been plateaued for the past week.

state patrol

Minnesota state trooper injured at crash scene on I-35

The trooper was in his squad when another vehicle struck.

money hundred dollar bills

Charges: Man stole thousands from 3 Twin Cities banks

When he was arrested, police found a folding knife on him.

Kwesi Adofo-Mensah

Here's what Kwesi Adofo-Mensah said in his first press conference

The 40-year-old former Wall Street trader originally wanted to be an economics professor.


snow, brown grass, white Christmas

About Minnesota's chances of a statewide white Christmas...

More snow in October than December? It appears so.

white Christmas

What are Minnesota's chances of a white Christmas this year?

The Twin Cities averages a white Christmas about 3 out of every 4 years.

What are our chances of having a white Christmas?

Time to mentally prepare yourself for a lot of grey and brown colors?

Light rain washing away Twin Cities' chances of a white Christmas

There could be big travel impacts with a storm system arriving next week.

Boring weather pattern could get more exciting Christmas week

There might be some festive snow in the forecast.

Christmas lights

Weather looks pretty good for Christmas Day in Minnesota

Maybe some light snow or mixed precipitation for some.

Quick shot of snow mid-week and no real warmup in sight

Thursday's commute to work and school could be slick.