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Winter storm arrives late Monday: How much snow for the Twin Cities?

Highest amounts are expected east of the Mississippi River.

UPDATE 3:30 P.M.

It's now looking more and more likely that the heaviest snow associated with a winter storm impacting the region will remain in Iowa and Wisconsin, and possibly parts of far southeast Minnesota. 

With that, the National Weather Service has dropped the Twin Cities from a winter storm watch and replaced it with a winter weather advisory on the belief that 3-5 inches of snow will fall late Monday night through midday Tuesday. 

A winter storm warning is in effect for parts of southeast Minnesota, including the cities of Red Wing and Rochester where 6-10 inches of snow could fall.  

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"A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued along and west of the Warning, extending as far west as line from Chisago County through Redwood Falls," says the updated forecast from the NWS. 

"Storm totals of 3-5 inches are expected in the Advisory area beginning tonight and will certainly bring high impacts to the morning commute tomorrow. Patchy blowing snow will develop in western and south central MN as winds increase into the 20-30 MPH range during the afternoon. Difficult travel is expected in the advisory area as well."

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Original story 7 a.m. Monday

After getting 5-6 inches of snow on Sunday the Twin Cities gets a short break before a stronger winter storm plows through the region with accumulating snow Monday night through Tuesday. 

As of Monday morning, the National Weather Service (NWS) is expecting another 5-6 inches of snow to fall across the metro with this storm, with higher amounts of 6-10 inches in southeast Minnesota and parts of Wisconsin. 

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The Twin Cities has not been placed in a winter storm warning like counties to the southeast and east have because it's still not clear how likely it is that any location in the metro will get 6+ inches of snow. 

Here's the official winter storm warning/watch language from the NWS

"A Winter Storm Warning has been issued for southeast Minnesota and most of west central Wisconsin. The Warning is in effect for locations generally east of a Red Wing, MN to New Richmond and Rice Lake line in Wisconsin. Storm totals of 6-10 inches are expected in the warning, with the highest amounts from Eau Claire up to Ladysmith in Wisconsin. The Warning runs from 9 pm tonight through 9 pm Tuesday in Goodhue county Minnesota and from midnight tonight through midnight Tuesday night in Wisconsin.

Farther west, a Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from south central Minnesota, up through the Twin Cities to Chisago county in Minnesota and Polk county in northwest Wisconsin. Snowfall accumulations in excess of 6 inches are possible. In addition, blowing snow and attendant visibility reductions will also be possible on Tuesday in south central Minnesota as northwest winds increase."

The heaviest snow is expected overnight Monday through Tuesday morning, meaning the morning drive to work/school on Tuesday is going to require extra time. 

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Snow ends in western Minnesota on Tuesday morning and should be out of the metro and southeast Minnesota by by late afternoon. 

Here's the simulated future radar for 6 p.m. Monday through 9 p.m. Tuesday, which will undoubtedly shift as computer models come out with new runs throughout the day. 

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