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Winter storm could dump heavy snow on southern Minnesota this weekend

The last big storm went south. This one is more likely to hit parts of Minnesota.

Last week's blizzard went south of the Twin Cities and Minnesota altogether, but another strong winter storm is brewing and this one might take a path that brings heavy snow to southern Minnesota and western Wisconsin. 

Here's what the Twin Cities office of the National Weather Service is saying about the weekend storm: 

"A strong storm system is expected to move out on to the Plains this weekend. Initially it will be warm, with a mix of precipitation expected, but a transition to all snow is expected on Saturday. Though there is uncertainty on where and how much snow will fall, models are starting to point toward southern MN and western WI being in or near the band of heaviest snow."

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It's still 3-5 days away so the path of the storm system can still change and miss to the south entirely again, but if you have travel plans this weekend this is something you'd be wise to pay attention to.

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The forecast discussion from the NWS Twin Cities says there are indicators suggesting "a pretty good chance we'll see a swath of 6-10" of snow" where the heaviest band of snow sets up, which is the million dollar question this far out ahead of the storm. 

Snow totals could be much lower where it's too warm for snow, or where temperatures allow for a rain/snow mix, which is possible with temperatures over the weekend right around the freezing mark. 

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Another factor that could cut down snow totals significantly is an expected sharp cutoff for locations just north of the heaviest band of snow, according to the Sioux Falls office of the NWS, whose forecasters currently believe the heaviest snow will fall along the Interstate 90 corridor in southern Minnesota.

That said, here's one model printing out significant amounts of snow by Monday morning four portions of southwest and southern Minnesota. Take it with a grain a salt, though, because this map is going to change. 

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Snow tonight into Thursday morning 

A nuisance snow will impact the Twin Cities after 6 p.m. today through 6 a.m. Thursday, with only an inch or so expected. Central Minnesota, in places like St. Cloud and Brainerd, could get a couple of inches and up to three inches is possible from Bemidji to Duluth. 

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