Skip to main content

Winter storm watch expands north, includes parts of the south metro

Everyone in southern Minnesota will want to keep an eye on forecast changes.

Models have been trending back to the north and because of that the National Weather Service has expanded the winter storm watch for Friday and it now includes the southern suburbs of the Twin Cities. 

FGHmuvLUYAAcYID

The storm track remains the most critical element in terms of tracking where the highest snow totals are going to fall. Ultimately, there is expected to be a narrow band of the highest accumulations, likely in excess of 6 inches – some of the models are projecting up to a foot of snow within the narrow band. 

As for now, however, the NWS is projection the heaviest snow to fall across far southern Minnesota, with the narrow band of heaviest snow from Mankato to Faribault and Rochester and into central Wisconsin. 

Weather is sponsored by All Energy Solar: get a free installation quote now!

But keep in mind that just 12 hours ago the NWS had Mankato forecast to receive 4 inches of snow, so this remains a very fluid situation. Mankato, by the way, is now within a zone of 8-12 inches. 

Screen Shot 2021-12-08 at 5.01.12 PM

According to the NWS La Crosse, the storm could be capable of producing snowfall rates of 2+ inches per hour within the heaviest bands of snow. Those snowfall rates would most likely affect the afternoon and evening commutes on Friday. 

Some of the models, like the NAM, have the heaviest snow – including 6+ inches – hammering the southern suburbs, but like most models, the NAM also puts the bullseye between the southern Twin Cities and the Rochester area.  

nam-218-all-minnesota-total_snow_10to1-9278000 (1)

The American model shows two heavy bands of snow, including one right though the metro. 

gfs-deterministic-minnesota-total_snow_10to1-9872000

The European model isn't as robust as the American and NAM models, but it does project similarly to the NWS snowfall graphic. It also has the metro along a very tight snowfall gradient along the northern edge of precipitation, which would result in big differences over a short distance. 

ecmwf-deterministic-minnesota-total_snow_10to1-9828800

One of the biggest things that will affect how high the snow totals get is the speed of the storm system. The faster it moves through the less snow can fall, so a slower system would lead to higher totals, which is what some of the models may be suggesting while others, like the American and European models, may not be seeing. 

So again, as the storm track changes we will continue to update the Weather MN blog and bring you the latest from Sven Sundgaard and Novak Weather. 

Next Up

Screen Shot 2022-01-28 at 10.38.41 PM

North Dakota Attorney General Wayne Stenehjem dead at 68

His office announced he had passed away 'unexpectedly' Friday.

Karl-Anthony Towns, Chris Finch

Suns get hot, Timberwolves fall in Phoenix

A scorching performance in the fourth quarter sent the Wolves to a loss in the desert.

Mats Zuccarello

Zuccarello helps Wild spoil Lundqvist's retirement party

After Henrik Lundqvist's jersey was hung to the rafters, Zuccarello led a 3-2 win.

Screen Shot 2022-01-28 at 5.04.00 PM

David Arquette gives shoutout to MN's F1rst Wrestling on James Corden show

The Hollywood actor wrestled at at a F1rst Wrestling show at First Avenue in early 2019.

Best Buy - jjbers, Flickr

6 charged in Black Friday mass thefts at Twin Cities Best Buys

The group stole from three Best Buy stores that afternoon, the charges say.

Nicollet County Bell Jan 2022 4

Thieves steal large bell from rural MN church, don't get far with it

The bell was found in a ditch with tow ropes around it.

covid

COVID: More help coming to Minnesota hospitals, Walz says

More than 200 medical professionals are coming to help at short-staffed hospitals.

Screen Shot 2022-01-28 at 9.04.12 AM

Suspect arrested after falling asleep in vehicle at rest stop

The man was sleeping in a stolen vehicle in the parking lot of an I-94 rest area.

DOminos pizza flickr mr blue maumau

Charges: Edina man threatened to shoot up Domino's Pizza

He claimed a delivery driver had flipped him off, the charges say.

carvana vending machine

Carvana seeking to build vehicle vending machine in Twin Cities

The online car dealership submitted a letter of intent to buy land in the metro to build a fulfillment center.

Kwesi Adofo-Mensah

Coller: New Vikings GM Adofo-Mensah needs to be ruthless

Kwesi Adofo-Mensah needs to make some big, difficult decisions, writes Matthew Coller.

Patrick Graham

Report: Vikings to interview Giants' Patrick Graham for head coach

Graham coached with the Patriots under Bill Belichick for six years.

Related

snow, snowplow

Winter storm watch issued as Friday storm track wobbles

The latest model runs show the heaviest snow a bit north of where the watch is in place.

snow, snowplow

Winter storm watch: Heaviest snow forecast to impact Twin Cities

The storm will bring impacts to much of Minnesota Thursday and Friday.

Sharon Mollerus - duluth - snow plow car

Sunday snowstorm walloping MN's North Shore with huge totals

Just ridiculous snow totals expected the rest of Sunday.

Snow, Hanley Falls

Latest storm track, snow forecast for weekend winter storm

The National Weather Service has issued a winter storm watch.

snow, plow

Friday winter storm could hit Twin Cities, southern Minnesota

Meteorologist Sven Sundgaard is already monitoring the forecast.

snow - 12-10-21 - Joe Nelson - 5

Winter storm warning issued in Minnesota ahead of Friday snow

It looks like there will be a sharp cutoff near the metro, so don't be shocked if the Twin Cities winds up with very little snow.

snow

Winter storm watch issued where snow could exceed 6 inches in MN

Snow will spread from west to east starting Saturday morning in western Minnesota.