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60-degree temperatures return, severe storms possible this week

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It's finally starting to feel like spring again, but with that comes the potential for severe weather.

Temperatures Monday are expected to pass 60 degrees in much of Minnesota for the first time in 10 days, and it's only expected to get warmer as the week goes on.

This week starts out dry and sunny, but scattered showers and the possibility for thunder creep in Tuesday night, Paul Huttner says on MPR News' Updraft blog.

The National Weather Service says thunderstorms are possible Tuesday night through Thursday. The most severe storms, which could bring hail, are expected Wednesday and Thursday for the southern half of Minnesota.

Historically, this time of the year is known for its severe storms, Huttner says. Tuesday is the anniversary of the biggest tornado outbreak in Twin Cities history, Huttner notes. On May 6, 1965, six tornadoes swept through the area, killing 13 people and injuring 683.

After Thursday's storms, the skies are expected to clear up – just in time for the fishing opener. Huttner is optimistic that there will be fairly good weather – light wind and sun – for Saturday's opener. The warm weather this week is also expected to help the last bit of ice melt on a lot of Minnesota's northern lakes.

For the rest of spring and summer, Paul Douglas said on his Star Tribune blog that the chance for a "super El Nino" warming event has risen to over 70 percent, and this year it "may be very significant."

But that doesn't mean we're in for a hotter summer. Douglas notes that most El Nino summers are cooler and wetter in Minnesota, while the fall and winter tend to be warmer and drier.

Here's a glimpse at the forecast around the state this week:

Twin Cities: Monday: Partly sunny with a high near 62, low around 44. Tuesday: Partly sunny with a high near 64, showers and thunderstorms likely overnight. Wednesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1 p.m., high near 64. Greater chance of rain and thunderstorms overnight. Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms likely after 1 p.m., high near 73. Friday: A 20 percent chance of showers, partly sunny with a high near 60. Saturday: Chance of showers and thunderstorms, otherwise mostly sunny with a high near 64. Sunday: Partly sunny, high near 67.

Brainerd: Monday: Partly sunny with a high near 59, low around 42. Tuesday: A 40 percent chance of showers, high near 61. Thunderstorms possible overnight. Wednesday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, high near 57. Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, high near 60. Friday: Chance of showers, high near 61. Saturday: Partly sunny, high near 64. Sunday: Partly sunny, high near 64.

Duluth: Monday: Mostly cloudy, high near 49, low around 34. Tuesday: A 30 percent chance of showers mainly before 1 p.m., partly sunny with a high of 48. Wednesday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, high near 44. Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, cloudy with a high near 48. Friday: A chance of showers, high near 56. Saturday: Mostly sunny, high near 62. Sunday: Partly sunny, high near 60.

Moorhead: Monday: Mostly sunny, high near 60, low around 45. Tuesday: Showers likely, high near 61. Wednesday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, high near 60. Thursday: Showers likely, high near 55. Friday: Mostly sunny, high near 62. Saturday: Partly sunny, high near 64. Sunday: Partly sunny, high near 64.

Rochester: Monday: Partly sunny, high near 60. Tuesday: Partly sunny, high near 63. Showers and thunderstorms possible overnight. Wednesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, high near 69. Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms, high near 74. Friday: Slight chance of showers, partly sunny with a high near 60. Saturday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, high near 66. Sunday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, high near 68.

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