Severe weather update: Threat shifts south, damaging winds still possible

Looks like another swing and a miss for the Twin Cities.

The National Weather Service has backed off big time on the severe weather threat for the Twin Cities.

Earlier forecasts Wednesday called for "widespread damaging wind" near or just south of the Twin Cities. But that threat has shifted much further south.

Check out this tweet:


"The now much more likely" trend brings a severe line of storms in southeast South Dakota through southwest Minnesota early to mid afternoon, the NWS says, while adding that forecast models "were a little too far north."

Which now puts the bullseye along and south of the Minnesota River.

Corresponding with the new threat is a fresh severe thunderstorm watch for portions of southwest Minnesota.


The original story from Tuesday morning is below. 

The Twin Cities and southern Minnesota is in line to get some severe thunderstorms that could bring powerful winds, large hail and even an isolated tornado.

The National Weather Service has the Twin Cities just inside the "enhanced risk" area for severe storms, which are expected to arrive between 7-9 p.m. An updated forecast is expected at 11:30 a.m., which should provide a better understanding of where the line of storms are headed.


The service says that a "widespread damaging wind event" could potentially unfold as a result of the storm system passing from the Dakotas across southern Minnesota, northern Iowa and southwest Wisconsin.


According to meteorologist Paul Huttner, it's rare for the weather service is issue a 30% chance of damaging winds, which is what they've done today. Huttner started his blog with a rather haunting line:

"I can probably count the number of days I’ve forecast a derecho on one hand over a 30-year weather career. Today is one of them."

As well as strong wind gusts, the storm could bring large hail and heavy rainfall – potentially 2-4 inches – which could cause localized flash flooding.

The area south of the I-94 corridor is the most likely to get hit with severe weather, with cities including Mankato and Rochester in the firing line.


More details about the direction the storm is headed is expected later on Wednesday, with suggestions right now the most severe part of the system (the red parts of the radar) is expected to pass near or south of Minneapolis.

This post will be updated as more information is made available.

Next Up

Tanner Morgan/Gopher Football

Morgan's resurgence, Nebraska's miscues help Gophers hold on

The Gophers quarterback threw a pair of touchdowns in a 30-23 victory.

Tina Smith

Sen. Tina Smith warns Dems she may not vote for budget bill if climate plan dropped

This comes amid a White House effort to get its "Build Back Better" plan passed.

Pixabay - emergency room ambulance hospital

St. Paul man dies six days after crash on I-94

The Hennepin County Medical Examiner has identified the man as David Rodney Hardaway.

police lights squad car dark - Unsplash

Double murder in northeastern Minnesota, suspect kills himself after chase

The suspect died at the scene from a self-inflicted gunshot wound.

chaska school fight

Anti-masker involved in school board meeting fight charged with assault

It happened last month at an Eastern Carver County Schools hearing.

Marcus Foligno

Marcus Foligno throws hands, scores game-winning goal in Wild's opener

The Wild forward scored with 7.2 seconds left to beat Anaheim.

Screen Shot 2021-10-15 at 10.01.55 PM

Large police presence at Emagine Willow Creek movie theater in Plymouth

There are few details at this stage as to what has happened.

Maple Grove Police Department

Maple Grove-based businessman convicted of fatally shooting wife

Wiseman owns properties in both Minnesota, Nevada and China.

betty and earls biscuits facebook

Jason Matheson's biscuit shop to briefly close ahead of relaunch

Betty & Earl's will shut down for two weeks before reopening under a new name.

Simon Merino Go Fund Me

Worker dies in forklift accident at paper recycling business

The victim was described as a loving father of two who was devoted to his church.

rosie means - go fund me

Authorities ID woman killed by hit-and-run driver who ran red light

A fundraiser was created to support the family after the "sudden and senseless loss."

Prior Lake Football

Watch: Prior Lake stuns Rosemount with last-second hook and ladder

The Lakers dusted off an old favorite to get a victory on Thursday night.


Severe storms could produce tornadoes, damaging winds today

There's also a slight chance of a snowstorm hitting the state by the end of the week.

Screen Shot 2021-08-24 at 5.47.03 AM

Damaging winds possible as severe storms to hit Twin Cities this morning

There were reports of trees down in Glenwood, Minnesota, earlier this morning.

storm, shelf cloud, severe weather

NWS: 'Significant damaging wind event' possible in Minnesota

Make sure you have a way to be alerted to warnings.

hail in Burnsville

'Very large hail and damaging winds' possible with severe storms Thursday

Severe weather is likely in parts of Minnesota, Iowa and Wisconsin.

storm, severe weather

Severe thunderstorm watch issued for south Minnesota, tornadoes possible

The watch area is just to the south of the Twin Cities.

storm, wall cloud, severe wather

Damaging winds, tornadoes again possible in Twin Cities Monday

Storms are expected to intensify during the early afternoon hours.

storm damage

Storm damage in northern MN; severe weather threat through Wednesday

Storms could pack a punch again Tuesday and especially Wednesday.