Severe weather update: Threat shifts south, damaging winds still possible

Looks like another swing and a miss for the Twin Cities.

The National Weather Service has backed off big time on the severe weather threat for the Twin Cities.

Earlier forecasts Wednesday called for "widespread damaging wind" near or just south of the Twin Cities. But that threat has shifted much further south.

Check out this tweet:

"The now much more likely" trend brings a severe line of storms in southeast South Dakota through southwest Minnesota early to mid afternoon, the NWS says, while adding that forecast models "were a little too far north."

Which now puts the bullseye along and south of the Minnesota River.

Corresponding with the new threat is a fresh severe thunderstorm watch for portions of southwest Minnesota.

The original story from Tuesday morning is below. 

The Twin Cities and southern Minnesota is in line to get some severe thunderstorms that could bring powerful winds, large hail and even an isolated tornado.

The National Weather Service has the Twin Cities just inside the "enhanced risk" area for severe storms, which are expected to arrive between 7-9 p.m. An updated forecast is expected at 11:30 a.m., which should provide a better understanding of where the line of storms are headed.

The service says that a "widespread damaging wind event" could potentially unfold as a result of the storm system passing from the Dakotas across southern Minnesota, northern Iowa and southwest Wisconsin.

According to meteorologist Paul Huttner, it's rare for the weather service is issue a 30% chance of damaging winds, which is what they've done today. Huttner started his blog with a rather haunting line:

"I can probably count the number of days I’ve forecast a derecho on one hand over a 30-year weather career. Today is one of them."

As well as strong wind gusts, the storm could bring large hail and heavy rainfall – potentially 2-4 inches – which could cause localized flash flooding.

The area south of the I-94 corridor is the most likely to get hit with severe weather, with cities including Mankato and Rochester in the firing line.

More details about the direction the storm is headed is expected later on Wednesday, with suggestions right now the most severe part of the system (the red parts of the radar) is expected to pass near or south of Minneapolis.

This post will be updated as more information is made available.

Next Up

high school football

Minnesota Football Showcase postponed due to COVID-19

The MFCA All-Star Game will be played in June 2021.

Screen Shot 2020-10-31 at 7.26.05 AM

Here's what President Trump said on his visit to Minnesota

The president targeted Gov. Tim Walz and Keith Ellison at his Minnesota rally.

Screen Shot 2020-10-30 at 6.09.58 PM

Here's what Joe Biden said in Minnesota Friday

Presenting himself as the candidate for a united country, he pledged improvements on affordable healthcare, pandemic relief

Mohamed Ibrahim

Missed PAT seals Gophers' fate against Maryland

Mohamed Ibrahim tied a school record with four touchdowns, but the Gophers lost in overtime.

dnr trout stocking helicopter

DNR uses a helicopter to more efficiently stock lakes with trout

In the past, the DNR used airplanes to stock remote lakes with fish, but the survival rate of the fish was only 85%.

steve simon zoom call

Secretary of State explains plans for segregated absentee ballots

Election officials are reminding voters that it's too late to mail in your absentee ballots.

Halloween, trick-or-treating

Osterholm on safe trick-or-treating: 'I would say go ahead with it'

The infectious disease expert's opinion doesn't align with the CDC's guidance.

drop and go ballot plymouth

It's too late to mail your ballot, but you can still vote. Here's how.

Voters can drop off their absentee ballot, vote early in-person or head to the polls on Election Day.

2019-12-11 f1rst Wrestling Hanukka Havok-Darin Kamnetz-154

Dusting itself off after virus blow, F1rst Wrestling returns to the ring this Sunday

Minnesota's premier independent wrestling company was on top of the world before the virus hit.


McDonald's is bringing the McRib back in December

It hasn't appeared on menus for eight years.


Severe storms could produce tornadoes, damaging winds today

There's also a slight chance of a snowstorm hitting the state by the end of the week.

storm, shelf cloud, severe weather

NWS: 'Significant damaging wind event' possible in Minnesota

Make sure you have a way to be alerted to warnings.


Here's where severe weather is possible Tuesday in Minnesota

A bigger concern may be storms that hit the same areas, creating a risk for flooding.


Severe storm threat: Damaging winds, large hail possible

Keep an eye on the skies Sunday afternoon and evening.

Severe Saturday: Damaging winds, large hail, tornadoes possible

It'll also be very sticky outside with heat indices reaching 90-100 degrees.

Screen Shot 2020-06-16 at 1.55.09 PM

Severe weather threat Wednesday, Thursday in Minnesota

Tom Novak of Novak Weather has the breakdown of what to expect.