This isn't the kind of hype the Minnesota Vikings are hoping for, less than a year after moving into U.S. Bank Stadium and in a season when Minneapolis will host Super Bowl 52.
But if you believe the analytic geeks who use mathematics to predict football results, the Vikings are likely to finish 2017 at 6-10 and in last place in the NFC North. So much for all that Super Bowl talk.
After starting last season 5-0 before stumbling through a 3-8 finish and missing the playoffs, the Vikings' struggles will continue in 2017, the experts at Football Outsiders projected.
The group made tirhe projection for ESPN Insiders (you'll need a login to read it). The bottom line is that the Vikings just didn't do well in Football Outsiders' Defense-adjusted Value Over Average analytic.
"Minnesota's projection is a bit of a surprise, until you realize just how poor the Vikings were in the second half of last season: 24th in offensive DVOA and 19th in defensive DVOA from Week 10 onward," writes author Aaron Schatz.
While it is really early – the NFL Draft is still more than two weeks away – it does come after a free agency period that saw the Vikings try to improve their biggest problem area, their offensive line.
The Star Tribune notes the projection is just a numbers calculation and there are a lot of potential outcomes for the 2017 season – 6-10 is just the most likely outcome for the Vikings at this point.