Skip to main content
Updated:
Original:

Early projection: Vikings picked to finish last in the NFC North

Super Bowl? Playoffs? Not according to this prediction.

This isn't the kind of hype the Minnesota Vikings are hoping for, less than a year after moving into U.S. Bank Stadium and in a season when Minneapolis will host Super Bowl 52.

But if you believe the analytic geeks who use mathematics to predict football results, the Vikings are likely to finish 2017 at 6-10 and in last place in the NFC North. So much for all that Super Bowl talk.

After starting last season 5-0 before stumbling through a 3-8 finish and missing the playoffs, the Vikings' struggles will continue in 2017, the experts at Football Outsiders projected.

The group made tirhe projection for ESPN Insiders (you'll need a login to read it). The bottom line is that the Vikings just didn't do well in Football Outsiders' Defense-adjusted Value Over Average analytic.

"Minnesota's projection is a bit of a surprise, until you realize just how poor the Vikings were in the second half of last season: 24th in offensive DVOA and 19th in defensive DVOA from Week 10 onward," writes author Aaron Schatz.

While it is really early – the NFL Draft is still more than two weeks away – it does come after a free agency period that saw the Vikings try to improve their biggest problem area, their offensive line.

Minnesota shelled out big money to sign free agent tackles Riley Reiff and Mike Remmers.

The Star Tribune notes the projection is just a numbers calculation and there are a lot of potential outcomes for the 2017 season – 6-10 is just the most likely outcome for the Vikings at this point.

Next Up

Karl-Anthony Towns

KAT sets a franchise record, leaves early in loss to Wizards

Towns fell on his back in the final minutes of a loss in Washington.

Flickr - police lights squad siren - Edward Kimmel

Man shot by police in Forest Lake dies from injuries

It was one of two police shootings in the Twin Cities on the same day, both of which proved fatal.

Dylan Bundy

Report: Twins agree to deal with Dylan Bundy

The Twins signed the right-hander with a lockout imminent.

Flickr - face masks covid pole - Ivan Radic

'Everyone should really be masking up' in public, Malcolm says

The health commissioner said residents have gotten "a little bit lax" with some protective measures.

Byron Buxton

Byron Buxton believes he's the best player in baseball

"Nobody [does] the things that I do. I know that."

unsplash medical marijuana

Edibles coming to Minnesota's medical marijuana program

MDH also announced it will not add anxiety as qualifying condition.

plow, snowplow, snow

Plowable snow possible this weekend in Minnesota

Up to half a foot of snow could fall within the heaviest band.

Best Buy - jjbers, Flickr

Police reveal new details about 'coordinated' Best Buy thefts

A large group stole thousands of dollars in merchandise from three Twin Cities Best Buy stores.

Seven Points exterior - 2

New tenant revealed for former Libertine spot in Uptown

The space will combine playful art offerings with a restaurant.

white Christmas

What are Minnesota's chances of a white Christmas this year?

The Twin Cities averages a white Christmas about 3 out of every 4 years.

ilhan omar press conference voicemail screengrab 11.30.21

'You will not live much longer b***': Rep. Omar shares threatening voicemail

Omar's office received the call hours after Rep. Boebert posted her video about the MN congresswoman.

Screen Shot 2021-12-01 at 11.24.09 AM

ESPN's 'Booger' makes fun of Wild fans' record cup snake

He's the same guy who thought the "Minneapolis Miracle" was bad for the Vikings.

Related

Early projection: Vikings picked to finish last in the NFC North

Super Bowl? Playoffs? Not according to this prediction.

3 Super Bowl free agents who could help the Vikings in 2017

What do we talk about now that the Super Bowl has ended?

3 Super Bowl free agents who could help the Vikings in 2017

What do we talk about now that the Super Bowl has ended?

How close are the Vikings to Super Bowl LII?

Super Bowl LII is coming to Minneapolis next year, what are the chances the Vikings will be playing in it?

How close are the Vikings to Super Bowl LII?

Super Bowl LII is coming to Minneapolis next year, what are the chances the Vikings will be playing in it?

Vikings face a challenging road to the playoffs

Despite a 5-0 start, the Vikings playoff chances are slimming by the day.

Vikings face a challenging road to the playoffs

Despite a 5-0 start, the Vikings playoff chances are slimming by the day.

Here are the best-case scenarios for the Vikings this weekend

Trying to figure out how the Vikings can make the playoffs? This should help.