Minnesota now has 4 'toss-up' races for the U.S House

Erik Paulsen's seat could be in play this November.

What's happening? 

The Cook Political Report has shifted its ratings for 21 U.S. House districts ahead of the November mid-terms.

The independent, non-partisan election analysts use data to predict which will be the most competitive races in the coming elections, highlighting those that are "likely" or "lean" Republican or Democratic, or those that are "toss-up" races.

What's this have to do with Minnesota?

Minnesota is one of the states to have a ratings change, and it's Republican Erik Paulsen's in the 3rd Congressional District.

Based on recent trends, Paulsen's district has been shifted from "leans Republican" to a "toss-up."

Democrats see a chance to flip Rep. Paulsen's seat, with the GOPer beset by criticism among some locals the past year for failing to hold a Town Hall meeting with constituents.

It now means there are four toss-up races in Minnesota this November, according to Cook, which are:

– 1st District (D – open, current Rep. Tim Walz is running for governor). 

– 2nd District (R – Rep. Jason Lewis).

– 3rd District (R – Rep. Erik Paulsen).

– 8th District (D – Rep. Rick Nolan).

Three of the Minnesota's eight seats are considered safe, those currently held by Democrat Reps. Betty McCollum (CD-4) Keith Ellison (CD-5) and GOP Rep. Tom Emmer (CD-6).

The other, Rep. Collin Peterson's 7th District covering western Minnesota, is considered "Likely Democrat."

Big year in Minnesota politics

Minnesota is seen as a battleground for both parties, with Republicans seeing an opportunity to flip one or both Senate seats up for re-election, while Democrats are eager to hold on to them and flip some Republican House seats.

To switch control of the U.S. House, Democrats need 24 seats nationally.

The Cook Political Report says the changes in its ratings comes despite a slight upturn in approval for national Republican leadership.

It notes however that "district-by-district fundraising and polling numbers are downright terrible for Republicans."

Next Up

ballot voting vote

Appeals court changes rules for MN absentee ballots received after Election Day

Pending a further challenge, votes received after 8 p.m. on Election Day may not be counted.

Donald Trump

Confusion over where Trump campaign rally will be held Friday

It sounds like it'll be held at the airport in Rochester.

Screen Shot 2020-10-29 at 3.19.05 PM

This video of the Lowry Hill Tunnel walls being cleaned is oddly satisfying

The tunnel will be closed overnight Thursday for cleaning.

gray wolf

Gray wolf removed from the endangered species list

A decision on whether they can be hunted in Minnesota will come later.

covid saliva test

Minnesota opening its 7th saliva testing location in St. Paul

The tests are free and open to anyone regardless of if they have symptoms.

pete stauber - qunn nystrom CD8

Election 2020 preview: Minnesota's 8th Congressional District

It's a race between incumbent Rep. Pete Stauber and Democratic challenger Quinn Nystrom.

coronavirus, covid-19, icu

Minnesota's COVID-19 hospitalizations increase by 27.5% in 24 hours

Bring Me The News confirmed that the dramatic increase is not a numbers error.

fire, flames

Lives saved as passerby, city workers rescue from 3 from Golden Valley fire

The Golden Valley Fire Department responded to the fire Wednesday morning.

Caribou Coffee Holiday 2020

Caribou Coffee rolls out holiday cups, menu early

The holiday season is underway at some Twin Cities stores, with a nationwide rollout planned for Nov. 5.


Here's why 3 of Minnesota's U.S. House races are so important this election

Democrats and Republicans see these races as important – here's an explanation.

A Minnesota House race was decided by just 4 votes

That, and more interesting results from Tuesday's elections.

Here are the winners (and losers) in MN's U.S. House races

One of the candidates made history on Tuesday night.

The races in 2 Congress swing seats are heating up in MN

Moves have been made in two tightly-contested seats.

While the world watched Comey, U.S. House voted to strip these finance rules

The vote could have implications for American consumers.

Report: Trump takes special interest in Minnesota race

The 8th District is expected to be one of the tightest in the nation.

White House confirms pick for next Minnesota U.S. Attorney

It's nominated Dakota County District Court Judge Erica MacDonald.

Democrats takes control of the Minnesota House

It mirrored what happened at the national level.