Minnesota now has 4 'toss-up' races for the U.S House

Erik Paulsen's seat could be in play this November.

What's happening? 

The Cook Political Report has shifted its ratings for 21 U.S. House districts ahead of the November mid-terms.

The independent, non-partisan election analysts use data to predict which will be the most competitive races in the coming elections, highlighting those that are "likely" or "lean" Republican or Democratic, or those that are "toss-up" races.

What's this have to do with Minnesota?

Minnesota is one of the states to have a ratings change, and it's Republican Erik Paulsen's in the 3rd Congressional District.

Based on recent trends, Paulsen's district has been shifted from "leans Republican" to a "toss-up."

Democrats see a chance to flip Rep. Paulsen's seat, with the GOPer beset by criticism among some locals the past year for failing to hold a Town Hall meeting with constituents.

It now means there are four toss-up races in Minnesota this November, according to Cook, which are:

– 1st District (D – open, current Rep. Tim Walz is running for governor). 

– 2nd District (R – Rep. Jason Lewis).

– 3rd District (R – Rep. Erik Paulsen).

– 8th District (D – Rep. Rick Nolan).

Three of the Minnesota's eight seats are considered safe, those currently held by Democrat Reps. Betty McCollum (CD-4) Keith Ellison (CD-5) and GOP Rep. Tom Emmer (CD-6).

The other, Rep. Collin Peterson's 7th District covering western Minnesota, is considered "Likely Democrat."

Big year in Minnesota politics

Minnesota is seen as a battleground for both parties, with Republicans seeing an opportunity to flip one or both Senate seats up for re-election, while Democrats are eager to hold on to them and flip some Republican House seats.

To switch control of the U.S. House, Democrats need 24 seats nationally.

The Cook Political Report says the changes in its ratings comes despite a slight upturn in approval for national Republican leadership.

It notes however that "district-by-district fundraising and polling numbers are downright terrible for Republicans."

Next Up

State Capitol.

Lawmakers reach agreement on eviction moratorium off-ramp

It would replace the governor's executive order that has been in place during the pandemic.

Pixabay - keys home house

Median sale price of Twin Cities homes hit whopping $350,000 in May

High demand and low supply is the reality for buyers throughout much of the state.

Sheldon Richardson

Report: Vikings working on reunion with Sheldon Richardson

The defensive tackle played with Minnesota in 2018.

June 7 - New Platform - CROP

Ospreys started a nest on a coop's power pole - so they built a new home for them

A small electrical cooperative went out of its way to help the hopeful osprey pair.


In 13 MN counties, the adult vaccination rate is below 50%

Todd County is the lowest, with a 37.8% adult vaccination rate.

scared dog

Keeping your pet safe and calm during fireworks, summer events

Pets are more sensitive to loud noises, and fireworks are known to stress out many dogs.

Pixabay - hospital emergency room sign

Sheriff: 25-year-old woman run over after falling off towed ATV

It happened on a rural forest road in Smokey Hollow Township.

Screen Shot 2021-06-14 at 8.45.06 AM

Loved ones identify woman killed in Uptown as Deona Marie Erickson

She was among the protestors Sunday night when a motorist drove through the crowd.

University of Minnesota

U of M won't require COVID-19 vaccination for fall semester

The university's president called it "a complex and personal issue."

enbridge energy line 3

MN appeals court upholds Line 3 pipeline approval

The decision is a blow to Tribal leaders and environmentalists fighting the project.


Here's why 3 of Minnesota's U.S. House races are so important this election

Democrats and Republicans see these races as important – here's an explanation.

A Minnesota House race was decided by just 4 votes

That, and more interesting results from Tuesday's elections.

Here are the winners (and losers) in MN's U.S. House races

One of the candidates made history on Tuesday night.

The races in 2 Congress swing seats are heating up in MN

Moves have been made in two tightly-contested seats.

While the world watched Comey, U.S. House voted to strip these finance rules

The vote could have implications for American consumers.

Report: Trump takes special interest in Minnesota race

The 8th District is expected to be one of the tightest in the nation.

White House confirms pick for next Minnesota U.S. Attorney

It's nominated Dakota County District Court Judge Erica MacDonald.

Democrats takes control of the Minnesota House

It mirrored what happened at the national level.