A new Public Policy Polling survey shows 52 percent plan to oppose the marriage amendment, with 45 percent supporting. The same poll shows 51 percent oppose the voter ID amendment, with 46 percent supporting.

The poll was taken Nov. 2-3 of 1,164 likely voters, with a margin of error of 2.9 percentage points.

PPP is a firm with links to Democrats, MPR notes.

This is the first poll that suggests that opponents of the voter ID amendment may outnumber supporters of it. Another recent poll by KSTP/SurveyUSA released just a few days ago indicated the voter ID amendment was likely to pass.

Now a new KSTP/SurveyUSA poll shows a tie on the voter ID measure – 48 percent opposed and 48 in favor. That new KSTP/SurveyUSA polls shows 48 opposed to the marriage amendment, with 47 in favor.

Can the numbers be believed?

Polling on marriage amendments in other states has proven to be inaccurate. Historically, some voters lie to pollsters on the issue – as many as 7 percent tell pollsters that they support gay rights, but then they vote to limit those rights when they get in the voting booth, WCCO reports.

The voter ID amendment would amend the state constitution to require voters to bring photo identification to the polls.

The marriage measure would amend the state constitution to define marriage as between a man and woman, effectively banning gay marriage in the state.