The Twin Cities could get its first winter storm of the season this week

Parts of southern and central Minnesota are at highest risk of being hit.
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Winter has been a bit of a bust in the Twin Cities if you're a snow lover, but it could be about to change this week.

The National Weather Service Twin Cities says in its forecast discussion that "confidence ... is increasing" that a winter storm is on its way, with the metro area in line for some potentially sizable snow.

According to its models, a swath of south and central Minnesota is at greatest risk of the being hardest hit by the winter storm, which is predicted to arrive Wednesday evening heading into Thursday.

For the Twin Cities and many cities in the southern half of Minnesota, it'd be the first winter storm of the season.

So how much snow are we talking? Well, as ever with weather forecasts, it's subject to change and there's every possibility that the system will shift away from the Twin Cities and greater Minnesota.

But as of now, any counties included in a possible winter storm warning could get between 4-7 inches of snow.

However, the NWS says "it is likely some areas will be harder hit than that and amounts could go up there."

The band of snow may shift west or east however, so the weather service says it can't commit to snowfall estimates for another day or so.

As of Sunday afternoon, the NWS' forecasting models varied, but 10 out of 23 said that 2-5 inches was likeliest.

It will come after a period of unseasonable (and welcome) warmth after a frigid end to 2017 and start to 2018.

Temperatures in the Twin Cities could hit as high as 40 on Wednesday before the snow moves in.

From then on, expect to see the mercury plummet, with highs of 1 degree predicted for next weekend.

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