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What day is the Twin Cities most likely to get its first winter snowfall?

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If you live in the Twin Cities, mark November 6 down on your calendars – and prepare to wrap up warm.

That's, apparently, the day that the metro area is most likely to have its first snow of the winter.

That's according to the Washington Post anyway (remember, they don't get everything right about Minnesota), which has put together this map of the United States based on the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration data of average first snowfalls.

And in Minneapolis that date is Nov. 6, though the map does show that northern parts of Minnesota are likely to get their first snow some time in October.

Fargo, meanwhile, welcomes its first snow on average on Nov. 1.

Last year, the first winter storm to hit Minnesota arrived on Nov. 10.

This year's first snow could be affected, however, by El Niño in the Pacific, which can have a varying impact on American winters.

The return this year of the weather phenomenon could mean less snow, according to KARE 11, which reports that previously strong El Niño winters have brought between 35 and 40 inches of snow to Minnesota, compared to the average of 47 inches.

The Washington Post notes that how snowy this winter will be depends on how the polar jet stream interacts with El Niño – noting that there could be plenty of snow on its way if the Pacific phenomenon brings moisture – which is then hit with a "couple of shots of Arctic air."

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