What's up with the dreary winter weather forecasts?

MPR's Paul Huttner takes a critical look at the slew of recent forecasts predicting a harsh winter in Minnesota this year.
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MPR's Paul Huttner says seasonal forecasts are a new science and getting it at all right isn't easy.

Last week AccuWeather predicted a winter much like last year's, with Minneapolis among the hardest hit cities.

Not quite, says Huttner, who points out that even AccuWeather's numbers aren't nearly as scary as what we saw last winter.

And the Farmer's Almanac says we can expect more snow and cold than usual. A climatologist at North Dakota State weighs in, telling WDAY-TV we'll probably see normal -- or slightly more than normal -- snowfall, thanks to La Nina.

In the end, the forecast probably looks like this: It'll be really cold and snowy, much like every year.

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