Skip to main content

Left in the cold: Football Outsiders has Vikings least likely team to make playoffs

  • Author:
  • Updated:
    Original:

With all the power rankings, all the opinions, all the assumptions from the "experts", one can easily lose track of reality.

Here's the facts: The Vikings have the best running back in the league, they made the playoffs last year, and added a historically productive receiver to go alongside a top 10 tight end in the league.

Are they in a tough division? Yes. Do they have a subpar quarterback? Yes. Did they get the floor mopped with them once they did make the playoffs? Yes.

That doesn't change the FACT that the Minnesota Vikings were one of 12 teams to make the postseason last year.

Now we know the facts, so it's time to hear another horrendous opinion on top of the ones we've already had to endure this preseason: According to Football Outsiders, the Vikings have a 4.9% chance of making the playoffs, lowest in all of football.

They used a statistical formula called DVOA (defense-adjusted value over average), that, despite the fact that the word "defense" is in the title, measures every play on offense and defense against a league average of how others would perform on that play, adjusted for the opponent.

It's complicated, multi-layered, and borderline insane.

Football Outsiders specializes in statistics and analysis, so they're constantly looking for the new, cutting edge ways to break down football (like sabermetrics in baseball.)

Stats are great, until they cross the line into not making sense. This is that line.

Closed circuit to Football Outsiders: Keep crunching those numbers outside, this door will be locked if you try to get in.

Next Up

Williams Uptown Pub

Williams Uptown Pub & Peanut Bar closes indefinitely after shooting

Reports say police have arrested two suspects in the incident.

Alex Rodríguez

A-Rod wears a Packers hat, Minnesotans lose their minds

The Timberwolves co-owner didn't endear himself to his fan base on Saturday night.

Flickr - Minneapolis police squad - Chad Davis

Police: Man shoots into crowd at funeral reception in Minneapolis

The shooting happened at a reception following a funeral on Saturday afternoon.

Screen Shot 2022-01-23 at 8.37.27 AM

Watch: Jimmy Garoppolo says 'F*** the Packers' after playoff win

The 49ers quarterback congratulated Robbie Gould in spectacular fashion.

Aaron Rodgers

America dunks on Aaron Rodgers after loss to 49ers

The Packers quarterback was destroyed on social media on Saturday night.

Marcus Foligno

Foligno's OT winner gives Wild fans a happy Hockey Day

A slow start gave way to the Wild's fifth win in the past six games.

snow

Winter weather advisory issued as Saturday snow arrives

Not huge totals expected, but any snow will likely impact travel.

Wilf

Report: Ryan Poles is Vikings' 'top choice' for general manager

Poles was one of two finalists revealed on Friday.

Payton Willis

Willis carries shorthanded Gophers to beat Rutgers

The senior scored a career-high 32 points to end a four-game losing streak.

MARCUS ALEXANDER STEICHEN

Charges: St. Paul man had sexual contact 'multiple times' with 12-year-old girl

Marcus Steichen, 21, is charged with first-degree criminal sexual conduct.

Related